The Missouri Political Bug is a campaign analysis service covering Missouri House, Senate and statewide campaigns as well as congressional politics, political developments and ballot initiatives in Missouri. The Missouri Political Bug (MPB) is a non-partisan service that neither endorses candidates nor advocates positions on matters of public policy.
Here are the quick numbers for the Senate. We have separated Incumbents from open seats.
This helps pick winners much more accurately.
SENATE NUMBERS
Incumbent
Safe
Incumbent
Lean
Incumbent
Toss-Up
Open
Safe
Open
Lean
Open
Toss-Up
Republican
3
1
2
3
2
0
Democrat
2
0
0
3
1
Primaries — The Senate races are all about primaries. The Democrats have three primaries including one against an incumbent. The Republicans also have 1 incumbent in a primary but they have 6 total.
Democrat: Primaries - 3, with incumbents - 1
Republican: Primaries - 6, with incumbents - 1
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HOUSE NUMBERS
Incumbent
Safe
Incumbent
Lean
Incumbent
Toss-Up
Open
Safe
Open
Lean
Open
Toss-Up
Republican
59
8
12
20
3
11
Democrat
34
3
0
11
2
Primaries — We always have lots of primaries but these are mostly in the open seats. This year we already have several incumbents facing challengers. There are also several former Reps. and 1 Senator running in House races this year. The Democrats have 4 primaries that are incumbents against incumbents.
